Candidate One: Jeremy Hunt.
Run-off scores –
–
Jeremy Hunt: 27 per cent.
Steve Baker: 48 per cent.
Don’t know: 25 per cent.
(777 votes cast)
–
Jeremy Hunt: 24 per cent.
Kemi Badenoch: 52 per cent.
Don’t know: 24 per cent.
(785 votes cast)
–
Jeremy Hunt: 24 per cent.
Liz Truss: 59 per cent.
Don’t know: 17 per cent.
(777 votes cast)
–
Jeremy Hunt: 21 per cent.
Tom Tugendhat: 42 per cent.
Don’t know: 37 per cent.
(769 votes cast)
–
Jeremy Hunt: 20 per cent.
Rishi Sunak 55 per cent.
Don’t know 26 per cent.
(772 votes cast)
–
Jeremy Hunt: 18 per cent
Nadhim Zahawi: 60 per cent
Don’t know: 21 per cent.
(773 votes cast)
–
Jeremy Hunt: 18 per cent.
Mordaunt: Penny Mordaunt 63 per cent.
Don’t Know: 19 per cent.
(777 votes cast)
–
Jeremy Hunt: 14 per cent.
Ben Wallace: 72 per cent.
Don’t know: 13 per cent
(773 votes cast)
–
Conservative MPs may or may not put the former Health Secretary into the membership stage of any leadership contest ballot.
But if he does, it’s all over for him before it has even begun, at least, if our survey is correct.
The closest he comes to winning in our putative contests is against Steve Baker, who nonethelesss tots up nearly double Hunt’s percentage.
Furthermore, Baker is the only candidate who Hunt could beat were he to squeeze all the don’t knows – and even then it would be close.
You will have spotted that the size of that category is the most significant factor of these contests.
When Hunt comes up against Tom Tugendhat, they account for nearly two in five of the whole poll.
That’s a specific vote of no confidence from some panel members in two candidates who will widely be seen as hailing from the Party’s left-of-centre.