Intriguingly, he has retweeted an article which said: ‘May God bless him, Melania, and their family, as God leads him to the next chapter in his life.’
Continuity on Capitol Hill looks set to ensue, with Republicans holding the Senate and Democrats keeping the House.
With Trump’s health still uncertain and Biden an even older man, Pence v Harris may turn out to be very important indeed.
This election seems destined for the courts – so we could be looking well into 2021 before we get a definitive result.
In January, the President wanted to be talking about jobs and growth. Instead, his Party present themselves as the last line of defence against anarchy.
It’s key to a Trump or Biden victory, and the President is behind in the polls – as Covid-19 rages, and the Republican convention prepares to meet there.
Trump has shown a rare flash of flexibility in signing a police reform executive order, breaking a hitherto narrow commitment to law enforcement.
The ongoing question of race in America poses an existential threat to the very principle of American exceptionalism on which the country was built.
Returning to the playbook that successfully propelled him into the White House in 2016, he is turning his focus again towards immigration and China.
It will put more pressure on postal votes and digital campaigning – reward candidates with existing financial backing and a sophisticated media strategy.
If America’s governors, county commissioners, and mayors are pursuing their own more aggressive measures, his calls will fall on deaf ears.
The White House and US Government must get a tighter grip and treat it as a public health crisis, not a campaign platform.
The Prime Minister may be able to ignore disgruntled Tories, but the US legislature will play a critical role in any new trade deal.
What role do we want to play? Elsewhere, will we join China’s Belt and Road Initiative, or rebuff it at Washington’s insistence? What will we do about Huawei?
Donald Trump’s approval ratings in the next month may signal whether he is heading for the fate of Bill Clinton or Richard Nixon.