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Less than a month ago Ipsos MORI had the Tory lead down to 6%. The ConHome Poll of Polls is now suggesting a Tory majority of over 80. Most commentators expect a much closer election, however. On Radio 4's Week in Westminster Jackey Ashley, Benedict Brogan, Peter Oborne, Peter Riddell and Steve Richards all predicted […]
The Tory lead was 9% last Sunday according to YouGov. An Angus-Reid poll yesterday had the Tories 16% ahead. The People's Nigel Nelson tweets that the poll for his paper has the Tories on 40%, Labour on 28% and the LibDems on just 18%. Tim Montgomerie
The numbers in the Angus-Reid poll for PoliticalBetting.com are the Conservatives unchanged at 40%; Labour up 1% on 24% and the Liberal Democrats up 1% on 20%.
The ConHome/ ConIntelligence team has just finished a very long (and quite liquid) Christmas lunch at one of London's greatest hotels (The Goring). As the Port was passed around the table we made predictions as to where the two main parties might be by the time we have Christmas lunch next year. These were the […]
According to a source inside The Guardian the Conservative lead in tomorrow's ICM poll is down by 2% (since the recent Sunday Telegraph/ ICM poll) to 9%. This is in line with The Sunday Times' YouGov poll which also showed a surprising narrowing of the Conservative advantage. I say "surprising" because I expected the negative […]
From today ConHome is making two changes to how we present opinion polls. The first is presentationally small but we hope instructive. Every time a new opinion poll is published we offer a projection of the likely Tory majority that would emerge from the percentage numbers in the latest survey and also from our polls […]
Tomorrow's Independent on Sunday carries a new ComRes poll (carried out on Wednesday and Thursday) which hopefully marks the beginning of a return to double-digit leads for the party. The numbers are: Comparisons are with the ComRes poll published two weeks ago. Other key findings from the survey include: 70% disagree with the suggestion that […]
Voter confidence in the Darling-Brown economic team has been knocked downwards in the first test of public opinion since this Wednesday's PBR. A ComRes poll for the Daily Politics programme found that Cameron and Osborne now enjoy a 7% lead over Labour in answer to the question, "Who do you most trust to steer Britain's […]
The Conservatives are on 44% (+6%), Labour on 32% (-1%) and the Liberal Democrats on 16% (-3%). More in The Guardian. Graphic later.
A new ComRes survey has the Conservatives up to 43% (up 2%); Labour down to 28% (-4%) and the LibDems on 16% (+1%). I call this landslide territory! 9.45pm: These numbers within the poll are particularly interesting. They suggest a massive erosion of the lead Labour had built up on economic competence during the latter […]
A survey of business leaders for today’s Independent suggests that they are warming to the idea of a Conservative Government and welcome the return of Ken Clarke to the political frontline as shadow business secretary. The ComRes poll shows that: 59% of those questioned believe the Tories offer constructive and realistic policies 56% think the […]
The Ipsos-MORI January Political Monitor has been published tonight and puts the parties on the following percentages: Comparisons are with the equivalent poll in December. The fieldwork saw 1,005 adults interviewed between Friday and Sunday.
Further to the news earlier tonight of a Tory lead of 13% opening up in a new YouGov poll, here are the figures for a ComRes poll featured in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday (hat tip to UK Polling Report): The poll was conducted on Thursday and Friday; comparisons are with the pre-Christmas ComRes survey, which […]
According to Political Betting – and also now confirmed by the Press Association – tomorrow’s Sunday Times carries a new YouGov opinion poll which puts the parties on the following percentages: Comparisons are with the most recent YouGov survey for the Sun earlier this month, which gave the Tories a 7% lead. YouGov interviewed 2,077 […]
That’s not our effervescent headline but the one chosen by The Times. Certainly an encouraging poll: Within the detail of the poll there are clear signs that the Brown bounce is fading: "Mr Brown and Mr Cameron are tied on 37 per cent over who is the right leader now to deal with the recession, […]