Labour enjoys huge majorities in this heartland of heartlands, but there are a few seats where the Tories are slowly getting competitive.
Whilst the leadership talks up 16 MSs, activists are angry about missing so many target seats and failing to mobilise the 2019 vote.
The latest results, news and analysis from Holyrood and Cardiff Bay as they come in.
Without proper constituency-level polling there is always room for doubt, but it looks as if Labour’s grip on Cardiff Bay is weakening.
It might allow Sturgeon to focus on the progressive, europhile case for independence whilst Salmond rallies leavers and cultural conservatives.
In 2007, it almost looked like the a plausible anti-Labour alternative for Wales. But things are very different today.
A coronation means that Andrew RT Davies, a right-wing Brexiteer closer to the grassroots who was forced out in 2018, is likely to retake the top job.
Some fear this is part of deeper struggle within the party as a prominent pro-devolution MS is deselected by local activists.
Both the Conservatives and Plaid have gone on the attack, but can anything break Labour’s iron grip on Cardiff Bay this year?
Moving them would require primary legislation, but despite bullish official pronouncements there is little certainty that we’ll be voting in May.
As Wales and Scotland prepare to potentially delay them again, no such provisions are being made for England.
If not for your efforts on the doorstep and the endless nights of telephone canvassing, we would not have defeated Corbyn’s Labour Party a year ago.
Labour administrations have undermined the constitutional settlement through misgovernment and pushing for more and yet more powers.
I’m a Welsh-speaker and proud of my heritage – but it’s absurd to charge £10,000 to try and prevent someone renaming their own home.
‘Abolish’ are exerting UKIP-style pressure as Paul Davies turns his guns on “cronies and hangers-on in civic society”: the devocracy.