Without proper constituency-level polling there is always room for doubt, but it looks as if Labour’s grip on Cardiff Bay is weakening.
The best George Galloway’s party can hope to achieve is taking seats from other unionists. They’re more likely to hand them to separatists.
It might allow Sturgeon to focus on the progressive, europhile case for independence whilst Salmond rallies leavers and cultural conservatives.
Both the Conservatives and Plaid have gone on the attack, but can anything break Labour’s iron grip on Cardiff Bay this year?
The different administrations are all in different places with increasing bad blood between them. Also, devosceptics look set to win seats in Wales.
It worked so well the last ten times, after all. Also: Reckless defects to Abolish as controversy over Drakeford’s lockdown – and who’s paying – deepens.
‘Abolish’ are exerting UKIP-style pressure as Paul Davies turns his guns on “cronies and hangers-on in civic society”: the devocracy.
The May Government set a time-bomb under the Union when it agreed to the mass devolution of ex-EU powers. Ministers must think again.
Also: DUP demand clarity from Johnson over customs checks, and Abolish the Welsh Assembly get their first representative in it.
The Party is keen to keep a lid on the issue ahead of next year’s Welsh elections, but disaffected activists and challenger parties are putting it on the agenda.
Also: Gove warns the Electoral Commission not to ‘waste time’ on SNP demands; Scottish Nationalists showing the strain as problems mount; and more.
Also: Carlaw and Johnson meet to discuss tweaks to the points-based immigration system; the SNP make trouble over the Irish Protocol; and more.
Also: May cites absurd fears about ‘direct rule’ to justify abandonment of No Deal; Tory rebels wooed separatist votes; and polls open in Newport West.
Also: Eleven candidates prepare to fight Newport West by-election; Trimble hints that backstop changes could be enough; and more.
Also: Welsh Labour slump in latest poll; SNP push Mundell over post-Brexit funding; DUP resist calls for 50/50 police recruitment – and more.