To the MPs involved, I misquote Obi-Wan Kenobi: strike Johnson down, and he will become more powerful than you can possibly imagine.
However, the comments from individual voters make it less obvious that these results will predict the next general election.
Though it’s hard to see how he can find a seat before the next general election – given the hazardous nature of by-elections.
Tory MPs will now get hard evidence of how much political damage Johnson has sustained over Partygate.
Applying a recall mechanism without conditions would rebalance politics by shifting power from officials to voters.
A barrister and senior figure in the Conservative Policy Forum, she will defend Amess’ majority of over 14,000.
This “veteran, surgeon, and barrister” – and ConHome contributor – will inherit Paterson’s majority of almost 23,000.
But this electoral Titan has an Achilles heel – tax rises which, rather than planning or HS2, are the real threat to future Chesham & Amershams.
Annual net migration currently suggests 55,000 more homes a year since the 2014 projections – more than the entire rise planned after the housing row.
The Government’s planning proposals haven’t even gone out to consultation yet – and everyone knows that the current system’s broken.
Lib Dem leader says Conservatives “have taken people for granted” who feel Johnson is “not in tune with traditional Tory values”.
Plus: Why Johnson will end lockdown in July, but is to blame for maintaining it. And: Labour. Seen as too anti-Semitic in some places… not enough in others.
In the aftermath of the by-election, ConHome republishes Henry Hill’s post-May analysis of the threat to the Conservatives in the South.
Clarity is needed that “levelling up” is not intended to mean class war against the more affluent.