These results are in effect identical to a YouGov poll published earlier today. If both we and they are right, Sunak needs a massive game-changer to turn this contest round – and he’s running out of time.
Taken together, our survey and YouGov’s polling suggest that the Chancellor has narrowed the gap between him and his opponents among Party members. But he is running out of time in which to get ahead.
The summing-up remarks of the five Conservative leadership contenders from our online hustings last Friday.
It would also make a mockery of any hustings held later than early August, since many of those present will by then already have voted.
And so Cabinet members other than Oliver Dowden take the advice I offered them on June 5 – namely, to tell the Prime Minister he should resign before he is forced out.
This event will bring together Cabinet members, NRG MPs, councillors, civic and business leaders and Party activists to discuss the levelling up agenda.
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Our findings and theirs are in the same territory even allowing for six months’ or so difference. There is no decisive view on who any replacement should be.
Conservative Party members benefit from a special discount ticket rate for the event, which takes place on 17th June.
We recently gazetted Henry Hill’s appointment as Deputy Editor, and William now joins our team.
We will be reverting until further notice to issuing our newslinks six days a week.
The pollster finds the same two future leadership front runners as our survey – but in reverse order.
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