Where the Tories have rallied in Scotland, Labour appear to have done so here. There is a broad range of possible Conservative targets, but only a few anticipated gains.
Alongside his ally Ruth Davidson, single-mum-and-council-house-raised Crabb is also part of a new generation of blue collar Tories.
Another region, another strong Conservative result against a mismanaged Labour campaign plagued by local miseries.
The third piece in our series examines the four-way battle for the hearts and minds of voters in Wales.