Unless studies and data take a turn for the worse, a Cabinet majority for more than Plan B isn’t there.
That would usefully combine what Johnson can get away with and should do in any event.
Despite being the world leader in vaccinations, Israel has seen immunity wear off. The UK government is taking note.
There comes a point where lockdown is only delaying an inevitable exit wave, not preventing it. This is the right time for ‘step four’.
He says that “the situation has really changed over the last two weeks” and that “we need to be very cautious going forward”.
It gives us the best chance of avoiding a third wave, a fourth lockdown and of getting our lives back to normal as quickly as possible.
This new variant is understandably causing concern but there is no evidence that vaccines will be less effective. We must stay calm and follow the rules.
Five reasons why Hancock’s announcement of tougher restrictions yesterday met less resistance than might have been expected.
It’s important to have advisers, but “advisers advise and Ministers decide” – because the latter are accountable to the rest of us.
Government needs to reform the stucture of expert advice, and publish serious analysis of the cost of the options they face.
If the public conversation about lives and livelihoods doesn’t change, we risk being trapped in semi-lockdown semi-permanently.
Johnson is being squeezed between dissenting local authorities, an increasingly divided Cabinet – and fundamental problems with test and trace.