If, that is, you don’t count “Other”, which comes ahead of the Home Secretary but behind the two front-runners.
The Prisons Minister says reducing the numbers incarcerated for under a year “would be good for public safety, good for the individuals and good for the prison system”.
The survey went out as Javid replaced Rudd, and he has bounced up to become the only other person polled who gets into double figures.
The changes in the ratings of the top three are almost unchanged, another tribute to the consistency of the poll.
Amy Chua says they are blind to the decisive importance of tribal politics – an obliviousness which extends to America itself, and prepared the way for Trump.
Meanwhile, 51 per cent of respondents believe that Theresa May should resign as Party leader before the next election.
Respondents are much where they were a few weeks ago, for all the turmoil that has taken place since the reshuffle.
Cabinet Ministers were told yesterday that the shuffle will be “significant”, but that word covers a multitude of possibilities.
Our take is that our panel is waiting to see what happens next, and suspending judgement as the political cycle and Brexit negotiations continue.
Futhermore, the Government needs to sharpen up its sense of mission. And there is a heap of talent on the Tory backbenches.
Jo Johnson is third. Then Greg Hands and Matt Hancock. But those who lead the results may be no less likely to go up than those who trail them.
Add together the totals of those named who backed Brexit, and one reaches a total of nearly 60 per cent of the vote.
The Mercers, Tugendhats and Cleverlys get a lot of media coverage. However, most promotions come from the ranks of the toiling Ministers of State.
Patel got a lot done – in particular, improving international rules about emergency spending. Now her successor must work on an aid policy for Global Britain.