Here is the latest monthly survey finding on general election expectations.
Seventy eight per cent of panel members currently expect a Conservative-led government to take office after it is held.
Fifty-nine per cent expect an outright win; 14 per cent a minority Tory Government, and five per cent a Conservative-led coalition.
The figures for the year to date are as follows:
- October: 85 per cent.
- September: 83 per cent.
- August: 86 per cent.
- July: 86 per cent.
- June: 91 per cent.
- May: 91 per cent.
- April: 87 per cent.
- March: 90 per cent.
- February: 87 per cent.
- January: 83 per cent.