Candidate two: Tom Tugendhat
Run-off scores –
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Tom Tugendhat: 35 per cent.
Steve Baker: 40 per cent.
Don’t know: 25 per cent.
(773 votes cast)
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Tom Tugendhat: 33 per cent.
Liz Truss: 51 per cent.
Don’t know: 16 per cent.
(774 votes cast)
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Tom Tugendhat: 32 per cent.
Rishi Sunak: 43 per cent.
Don’t know: 25 per cent.
(771 votes cast)
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Tom Tugendhat: 32 per cent.
Kemi Badenoch: 42 per cent.
Don’t know: 23 per cent.
(772 votes cast)
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Tom Tugendhat: 26 per cent.
Penny Mordaunt: 52 per cent.
Don’t know: 21 per cent.
(775 votes cast)
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Tom Tugendhat: 26 per cent.
Nadhim Zahawi: 48 per cent.
Don’t know: 26 per cent.
(773 votes cast)
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Tom Tugendhat: 17 per cent.
Ben Wallace: 65 per cent.
Don’t know: 18 per cent.
(768 votes cast)
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It may not be surprising that two One-Nationish potential leadership candidates are bottom of our survey. But it’s worth reading the small print.
According to our survey, Jeremy Hunt could win a single contest by squeezing all the don’t knows. Tugendhat could win four: against Steve Baker, Rishi Sunak, Kemi Badenoch and Nadhim Zahawi.
He could also get within five votes of Penny Mordaunt and two of Liz Truss, who is emerging as a bit of a marmite candidate.
She wins the second-best total against Tugendhat, as she did against Hunt, but note how she pushes their vote against her up, too: the total of don’t knows is comparatively low.
With so big a slice of don’t knows in so many contests, there is a lot to play for.