Candidate Three: Steve Baker.
Run-off scores –
–
Steve Baker: 35 per cent
Rishi Sunak: 44 per cent.
Don’t know: 20 per cent.
(778 votes cast)
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Steve Baker: 31 per cent.
Kemi Badenoch: 38 per cent.
Don’t know: 30 per cent.
(783 votes cast)
–
Steve Baker: 30 per cent.
Liz Truss: 45 per cent.
Don’t know: 24 per cent.
(784 votes cast)
–
Steve Baker: 30 per cent.
Penny Mordaunt: 49 per cent.
Don’t know: 21 per cent.
(782 votes cast)
–
Steve Baker: 29 per cent.
Nadhim Zahawi: 48 per cent.
Don’t Know: 22 per cent.
(775 votes cast)
–
Steve Baker: 23 per cent.
Ben Wallace 61 per cent.
Don’t know: 16 per cent.
(780 votes cast)
–
The Brexiteer and marketeer would, as we have seen earlier, beat Jeremy Hunt and Tom Tugendhat in a ballot of Party members, if our survey is correct and were the vote held today.
He could also beat all other candidates in our field bar Ben Wallace by scooping up all the don’t knows – Mordaunt by two per cent; Zahawi by one per cent.
However, it’s very unlikely indeed that they would break so decisively in his favour in the event of these contests being replicated in a real ballot.
The 25 per cent don’t know score in a contest between Baker and Truss represents roughly the strength of the leftish wing of the Party, whose view in this case looks like “a plague on both your houses”.