The Tory Leader has finally surged into first place. That Badenoch had already overtaken Jenrick before his departure will be quietly savoured in LOTO.
Jenrick only just tops the polls, with Stride and Badenoch swapping places with the pair coming second and third respectively. It comes amid an awkward row over a twitter post from the Tories’ chairman linking Reform UK’s badge to a Nazi one.
Beyond the individual movements, the broader pattern is clear. Our pre-conference survey captured a subdued party. The post-conference results, in contrast, suggest a membership energised by the Party’s Manchester outing and a clarified narrative. The reset moment did what it needed to do.
Jenrick’s dominance appears to be unassailable. He places comfortably on top, yet again with +70.4. Holden, promoted to shadow transport secretary, has entered the rankings in dead last at -14.9.
Badenoch as leader has a net satisfaction rating (+18.1) around a quarter of Jenrick’s, and that still marks a vast improvement on her last league table number: 0.0.
As one shadow cabinet member told ConservativeHome, and it is something echoed by Tory backbenchers too: “There is a load of dead weight.” Clearly our Members’ Panel are starting to agree.