Given the polls, and the torrid time the Party has had over the past few months, it may be that this represents some sort of floor in terms of expectations.
The Foreign Secretary has been a visible media and online presence since Hamas attacked Israel – and, like Ben Wallace during the Ukraine war, sees his place and rating rise.
This reflects a sense on much of the right that the country is part of the Western project, as well as a reaction against political Islam.
Badenoch is top for the second month running, but scores are paltry almost all the way round, and in no way a springboard for the Manchester conference.
Last month, 40 per cent of our panel expected a Labour majority, and 11 per cent a Conservative one. Now those figures are 53 per cent and 9 per cent respectively.
At just over 700 replies, the low response rate reflects not only the summer season but diminished expectations. This is a bleak return for the Government as Parliament resumes.
The share of our panel expecting a Labour majority is up to 41 per cent having fallen to 30 per cent last time around.
My explanation? The Uxbridge & South Ruislip by-election result – and the Prime Minister’s tilt from green politics to red – or rather blue – meat.
An emphatic 66 per cent are opposed to LDNs – and a socking great 83 per cent to the ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars and vans from 2030.
They clearly believe that judges are increasingly taking upon themselves the role of MPs – and are willing to leave the Convention in consequence.
But over two in five members don’t – and his support has fallen since our last survey was held just over a month ago.
The biggest jump has been in the number expecting a Labour-led coalition or minority government, compared to the last time we asked.
Mordaunt is up, Badenoch and Braverman down – and Sunak falls to mid-table. The panel is thoroughly fed up in the wake of the local elections.
Seventy-three per cent of respondents blames civil servants for the current difficulties. Only six per cent believe that they’re not responsible at all.
The caravan seems to have moved on a bit. But while the former Prime Minister is clearly a divisive figure, the average panel member also feels some sympathy for him.