Here are the run-off scores from our latest Next Tory Leader survey for the top three candidates in the Parliamentary Party ballot.
Penny Mordaunt: 41 per cent. (Last Monday: 58 per cent.)
Rishi Sunak: 43 per cent. (Last Monday: 31 per cent.)
Don’t know: 15 per cent. (Last Monday: 13 per cent.)
(844 votes cast.)
Rishi Sunak: 42 per cent (Last Monday: 34 per cent.)
Liz Truss: 49 per cent. (Last Monday: 51 per cent.)
Don’t know: 9 per cent. (Last Monday: 15 per cent.)
(845 votes cast.)
Penny Mordaunt: 41 per cent. (Last Monday: 51 per cent.)
Liz Truss: 48 per cent. (Last Monday: 33 per cent.)
Don’t know: 11 per cent. (Last Monday: 16 per cent.)
(845 votes cast.)
- The run-offs march in step with yesterday’s headline findings, which saw Mordaunt’s share of the vore fall from 19 per cent to 18 per cent, and her position drop from first to third. Both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss would defeat her in the membership ballot were it held today if our survey is correct.
- Truss is the overall winner – beating both Mordaunt and Sunak. The case Team Badenoch will be making to Conservative MPs this weekend, drawing on our result yesterday that found her the most popular candidate, will be: “Truss is finished – vote for Kemi.” To which Team Truss, pointing to this latest result, will be able to counter: “Liz can beat these two in the final – hang on in there.”
- Sunak has a certain momentum. Though fourth in our result yesterday, he improved his vote share. He has turned around his loss to Mordaunt in our survey of last Monday, and would now beat her at the membership stage (if it is right). And he has narrowed the gap against Truss from 17 points to seven.
Much may hang on the ITV debate at 19.00 this evening. MPs vote again tomorrow to eliminate one of the remaining five candidates – Sunak, Mordaunt, Truss, Badenoch and Tom Tugendhat.
The survey from which these findings are taken was sent out and returned yesterday – after both Friday’s ConservativeHome hustings and the Channel 4 debate.
The complete run-off of all five candidates against each other will be published on this site first thing tomorrow morning. The third ballot of the Parliamentary Party in the contest takes place tomorrow.