Expectations of the new Prime Minister are so low that the only way for her may be up. The Conservatives need her to succeed. Far more importantly, so does Britain.
She knew one big thing: economic policy must change. He knew lots of little things – but not enough to make a late surge count for a slower start.
172,437 people were eligible to vote and there was an 83 per cent turn out. Truss won 81,326 votes and Sunak 60,399.
But there are truths in life – for example, that a stich in time saves nine, beggars can’t be choosers…and that you can’t spend more than your earn. His premiership ends with record spending and taxes.
She will only be able to effect her planned tax cuts within a financial framework robust enough to convince the markets of its coherence.
If Truss is set on rewriting the Integrated Review, she will need bandwidth at the top of govenment to do so effectively, given the awesome scale of the economic challenges facing her.
Activists are willing to go along with the Party as long as it’s prepared to go along with them. Which has meant it doing so on the great issues of the day. Which in recent years have boiled down to one – Brexit.
Loyalty is not enough, and were all of her key campaign staff simply to be translated up, there would be a collective lack of experience at the very top of government.
When it comes to economic policy, this contest will have given her a mandate to break with the recent past – or at least try to.
His political misfortunes have rendered his core prejudices more visible – among them, a feel for people born with talent but without advantage who can’t develop the first because they lack the second.
I’m deeply disappointed to see that my remarks are being taken out of context, and am grateful to have this chance to correct the record.
The sum of Opinium, YouGov and our survey is that Truss is set to win by a margin roughly between 70-30 and 60-40. Some 60 per cent of our respondents say they’ve already voted.
If as a Party member you can’t quite make up your mind, might it not be sensible to let Tory MPs do it for you? After all, they will have to work with the winner, or try to, amidst the cockpit of the Commons.
What is less recognised is the way in which David Cameron’s Government decided, not without risk to the Conservatives’ electoral prospects in some key marginals, to withhold patronage and money from some Muslim organisations that, fitfully, had gained both under Labour.
These results are in effect identical to a YouGov poll published earlier today. If both we and they are right, Sunak needs a massive game-changer to turn this contest round – and he’s running out of time.